2025年, 新西兰房价仅上涨0. 5 % , New Zealand’s house prices to rise just 0.5% in 2025 amid flat demand and rising inventory.

新西兰的住房市场预计到2025年将保持近乎平坦,根据财产脉冲和BNZ,预计到年底,全国房价将仅上涨0.5%。 New Zealand’s housing market is expected to remain nearly flat in 2025, with national house prices projected to rise just 0.5% by year-end, according to Property Pulse and BNZ. 尽管月销售额增长了5%,但不断上升的库存量(达到10年的高水平)抵消了需求,使价格保持稳定。 Despite a 5% increase in monthly sales, rising inventory—reaching a 10-year high—has offset demand, keeping prices stable. 预计储备银行将交付其最终的OCR削减,有可能以2.25%的速度结束宽松周期。 The Reserve Bank is expected to deliver its final OCR cut, likely ending the easing cycle at 2.25%. 虽然更强劲的经济增长和稳定的抵押贷款利率可能会在2026年刺激需求,但2027年拟议的资本收益税的不确定性可能会抑制投资者的活动。 While stronger economic growth and stable mortgage rates could boost demand in 2026, uncertainty around a proposed capital gains tax for 2027 may dampen investor activity. 南部和坎特伯雷等区域市场的增长较强劲,而奥克兰和惠灵顿则因供过于求而面临停滞。 Regional markets like Southland and Canterbury show stronger growth, while Auckland and Wellington face stagnation due to oversupply.