美国预计2026年的增长率为2%,通货膨胀略有减缓,就业增长缓慢,预期在政策风险中将降低增长率。 U.S. growth projected at 2% in 2026, with inflation easing slightly, job growth slow, and rate cuts expected amid policy risks.

根据对42名经济学家的调查,预计2026年美国经济增长将增长2%,其驱动因素是个人支出和商业投资增加。 U.S. economic growth is projected to edge up to 2% in 2026, driven by stronger personal spending and business investment, according to a survey of 42 economists. 预计2025年底通货膨胀率为2.9%,2026年略降至2.6%,尽管持续的价格压力依然存在。 Inflation is forecast to end 2025 at 2.9% and fall modestly to 2.6% in 2026, though persistent price pressures remain. 预计就业增长将保持停滞,每月大约为64 000人,将失业率推至4.5%。 Job growth is expected to stay sluggish at about 64,000 per month, pushing the unemployment rate to 4.5%. 联邦储备银行很可能在2025年12月将利率降低四分之一,在2026年将利率降低一半。 The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by a quarter-point in December 2025 and a half-point in 2026. 新的进口税和更严格的移民执法被视为重大风险,有可能使增长减少高达0.75个百分点。 New import taxes and stricter immigration enforcement are seen as major risks, potentially reducing growth by up to 0.75 percentage points.