印度的经常账户赤字预计将在2026年上升到GDP的1.7%,因为进口和贸易压力很大,尽管美国有可能达成贸易协议。 India’s current account deficit is expected to rise to 1.7% of GDP in 2026 due to high imports and trade pressures, despite a potential U.S. trade deal.

印度的经常账户赤字预计将在2026财政年度从1.2%增加到GDP的1.7%,其原因是持续的全球贸易关税、强劲的季节性需求刺激进口以及2025年10月创纪录的41.68亿美元的商品贸易逆差。 India’s current account deficit is projected to widen to 1.7% of GDP in fiscal year 2026, up from 1.2%, due to ongoing global trade tariffs, strong seasonal demand boosting imports, and a record $41.68 billion merchandise trade deficit in October 2025. 在节庆和婚礼需求方面,黄金进口猛增,而原油价格下降可能部分抵销外部压力。 Gold imports surged on festive and wedding demand, while lower crude oil prices may partially offset external pressures. 近乎最后确定的印度-美国贸易协议可以将关税从50%降低到15-16%,支持长期出口,但近期出口增长仍然不确定。 A near-finalized India-U.S. trade deal could reduce tariffs from 50% to 15–16%, supporting exports long-term, but near-term export growth remains uncertain.