澳大利亚经济指数在2025年10月上升,预示着增长将更强劲,到2026年年中将可能降低增长率。 Australia’s economic index rose in October 2025, signaling stronger growth ahead and potential rate cuts by mid-2026.

澳大利亚的主要经济指数在2025年10月上升,2026年初略高于趋势,6个月的年均增长率为0.35%,比9月的0.10%有所上升。 Australia’s leading economic index rose in October 2025, signaling slightly above-trend growth in early 2026 with a six-month annualized rate of 0.35%, up from 0.10% in September. 在消费者期望提高、股市水平上升和工时增加的推动下,这一改善支持了Westpac预测的GDP增长率从2025年的1.8 % 上升到2026年的2.4 % 。 The improvement, driven by stronger consumer expectations, rising stock market levels, and increased work hours, supports Westpac’s forecast of GDP growth rising from 1.8% in 2025 to 2.4% in 2026. 预计澳大利亚储备银行的现金利率将稳定到2026年年中,随着通货膨胀的降温,可能于5月和8月进行削减。 The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold its cash rate steady until mid-2026, with possible cuts in May and August as inflation cools.