印度经济以强劲的工业、出口和农村需求为主导,在26财政年度第2季度将增长7%。 India’s economy to grow 7% in Q2 FY26, led by strong industry, exports, and rural demand.

根据ICRA和经济学家调查,在强劲的工业产出、不断增长的出口和强劲的农村需求驱动下,预计印度经济在Q2 FY26将增长7%。 India’s economy is projected to grow at 7% in Q2 FY26, driven by strong industrial output, rising exports, and robust rural demand, according to ICRA and economist surveys. 制造业猛增4.9%,出口增长8.9%,政府资本支出继续上升,尽管速度较慢。 Manufacturing surged 4.9%, exports rose 8.9%, and government capital spending remained elevated, though at a slower pace. 由于公共开支减少,服务部门放缓至7.4%,而农业增长3.5%。 The services sector slowed to 7.4% due to reduced public spending, while agriculture grew 3.5%. 摩根斯坦利预测27-28财政年度GDP增长6.5%,由消费支出、私人投资和预期的税收改革支撑。 Morgan Stanley forecasts 6.5% GDP growth for FY27–28, supported by consumer spending, private investment, and expected tax reforms. 2025年12月,尽管存在全球贸易风险,但《区域投资倡议》很可能将利率降低到5.25%,增长以国内需求为支撑。 The RBI is likely to cut rates to 5.25% in December 2025, with growth underpinned by domestic demand despite global trade risks.