根据高盛公司的说法,以印度和中国为首的新兴市场在10年股票回报率方面预计将超过美国股票的业绩。
Emerging markets, led by India and China, are projected to outperform U.S. stocks in 10-year equity returns, according to Goldman Sachs.
高盛公司(Goldman Sachs)预测新兴市场将实现全球最高的10年股票回报率,每年以美元计为10.9%,超过美国(6.5%)、欧洲(7.1%)、日本(8.2%)和亚洲(前日本)(10.3%)。
Goldman Sachs projects emerging markets to deliver the highest 10-year equity returns globally, at 10.9% annually in USD, outpacing the U.S. (6.5%), Europe (7.1%), Japan (8.2%), and Asia ex-Japan (10.3%).
该公司将前景归因于强劲的收益增长,特别是在印度和中国,其驱动力是政策改革和股东回报的提高。
The firm attributes the outlook to strong earnings growth, particularly in India and China, driven by policy reforms and improved shareholder returns.
预计印度的年收入增长率将达到13%,并辅之以有利的人口和经济基本面。
India is expected to lead with a 13% compound annual earnings growth rate, supported by favorable demographics and economic fundamentals.
全球股票总体预计每年回报率为7.7%,收入增长因回购而加快,仍然是主要回报驱动因素。
Global equities overall are forecast to return 7.7% annually, with earnings growth—boosted by buybacks—remaining the primary return driver.
尽管估值略有下降,但预计长期业绩将保持稳固,根据预测,在不同的假设情景下,S & P 500预测每年为6.5%,从3%到10%不等。
Despite modest valuation declines, long-term performance is expected to remain solid, with the S&P 500 projected at 6.5% annually, ranging from 3% to 10% under different scenarios.