澳大利亚的强劲工资增长可能会将削减利率推迟到2026年,因为通胀率仍然很高,银行也面临审查。 Australia’s strong wage growth may delay rate cuts until 2026, as inflation remains high and banks face scrutiny.

澳大利亚即将到来的工资增长数据预计每年为3.4 % , 这可能延缓澳大利亚储备银行的任何利率削减, 市场现在的定价为40%的削减机会可能不会在2026年初之前发生。 Australia’s upcoming wage growth data, expected at 3.4% annually, could delay any interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia, with markets now pricing in a 40% chance of a cut likely not before early 2026. 由于通货膨胀率持续在3.2%的背景下,RBA在10月份将利率保持在3.6%的稳定水平,预计银行行长米歇尔·布洛克的谨慎立场将反映在会议记录中. The RBA held rates steady at 3.6% in October amid persistent inflation at 3.2%, and Governor Michele Bullock’s cautious stance is expected to be reflected in meeting minutes. 与此同时,澳大利亚主要银行面临议会对收费、区域准入、骗局和AI的影响的监察,而全球市场则反应紧张,澳大利亚股位在风险资产大范围退缩中达到近四个月的低点。 Meanwhile, Australia’s major banks face parliamentary scrutiny over fees, regional access, scams, and AI impacts, while global markets reacted nervously, with Australian shares hitting a near four-month low amid a broader retreat from risk assets.