印度经济每年以6.7%的速度增长到2040年,由青年、服务和数字基础设施驱动。
India’s economy to grow at 6.7% annually to 2040, driven by youth, services, and digital infrastructure.
印度经济预计从2025年到2040年以6.7%的年增长率增长,超过中国,名义GDP到2040年超过11万亿美元,根据DBS小组研究报告,人均收入上升到7 000美元。
India’s economy is projected to grow at 6.7% annually from 2025 to 2040, outpacing China, with nominal GDP exceeding $11 trillion by 2040 and per capita income rising to $7,000, according to a DBS Group Research report.
青年人口众多,近26%的10-24岁人口具有人口潜力,但农业和非正规就业方面仍然存在挑战。
A large youth population, with nearly 26% aged 10–24, offers demographic potential, but challenges remain in agriculture and informal employment.
服务出口自2012年以来每年增长8%,预计到2030年将达到4 800亿美元,到2040年将达到6 500亿美元,得到UPI和IndiaStack等数字基础设施的支持。
Service exports, growing at 8% annually since 2012, are expected to reach $480 billion by 2030 and $650 billion by 2040, supported by digital infrastructure like UPI and IndiaStack.
成功取决于教育、卫生、技能和数字化方面的改革,以及多样化和非碳化方面的协调进展。
Success depends on reforms in education, health, skilling, and digitalization, alongside coordinated progress in diversification and decarbonization.