澳大利亚中央银行提高了通货膨胀预测,将削减利率推迟到2026年底或以后。 Australia's central bank raises inflation forecast, delaying rate cuts until late 2026 or later.

澳大利亚储备银行提高了其通货膨胀预测,现在预计到12月将达到3.2%,并持续到2026年年中,将任何减速推迟到2026年底或以后。 The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its inflation forecast, now expecting trimmed mean inflation to reach 3.2% by December and stay elevated through mid-2026, pushing back any rate cuts to late 2026 or later. 9月,由于临时因素和劳动力市场持续紧张,季度通货膨胀率上升1%,比预期的更强劲,导致这次修订。 A stronger-than-expected 1% quarterly inflation rise in September, driven by temporary factors and persistent labor market tightness, led to the revision. 尽管失业率略有上升,达到4.5%,但高职位空缺和自愿辞职表明能力压力持续存在。 Despite a slight unemployment rise to 4.5%, high job vacancies and voluntary quits signal ongoing capacity pressures. 非洲区域局预计,随着能源回扣到期,到2026年中期,总通货膨胀率将达到顶峰,达到3.7%,而今年的国内生产总值增长率预计为2%。 The RBA expects headline inflation to peak at 3.7% by mid-2026 as energy rebates expire, while GDP growth is forecast at 2% this year. 全球对美国关税的承受力依然存在,但澳大利亚的前景取决于中国即将出台的增长目标和五年计划。 Global resilience to U.S. tariffs remains, but Australia’s outlook hinges on China’s upcoming growth target and five-year plan.