亚太经合组织2025年的增长预测在强劲的贸易中上升到3.1%,但债务和紧张可能减缓增长,在2026年降至2.9%。 APEC's 2025 growth forecast rises to 3.1% on strong trade, but debt and tensions may slow growth to 2.9% in 2026.

亚太经合组织在2025年的经济增长预计为3.1%,与早先的预测相比略有上升,其驱动因素是贸易强劲和高技术需求。 APEC's economic growth is projected at 3.1% in 2025, up slightly from earlier forecasts, driven by strong trade and high-tech demand. 2025年上半年贸易猛增,进出口分别上升6.5%和6.1%,但由于公共债务上升、临时因素消退以及贸易紧张,预计2026年增长将放缓至2.9%。 Trade surged in the first half of 2025, with exports and imports rising 6.5% and 6.1% respectively, though growth is expected to slow to 2.9% in 2026 due to rising public debt, fading temporary factors, and trade tensions. 政府债务预计到2026年将超过国内生产总值的110%。 Government debt is forecast to exceed 110% of GDP by 2026. 报告强调有必要开展区域合作、稳定政策和公开对话,以便在日益不确定的情况下保持经济复原力。 The report stresses the need for regional cooperation, stable policies, and open dialogue to maintain economic resilience amid growing uncertainty.