由于可再生增长,中国、印度和印度尼西亚可能到2030年煤炭使用量达到高峰,但需要逐步减少计划来实现气候目标。 China, India, and Indonesia may peak coal use by 2030 due to renewable growth, but need phase-down plans to meet climate goals.

能源和清洁空气研究中心的一份新报告发现,中国、印度和印度尼西亚对全球煤炭使用量的73%负责,在可再生能源迅速扩展、清洁能源成本下降和国家目标的推动下,到2030年煤炭发电量和排放量可能达到高峰。 A new report by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air finds that China, India, and Indonesia—responsible for 73% of global coal use—could peak coal power and emissions by 2030, driven by rapid renewable expansion, falling clean energy costs, and national targets. 中国自2024年以来,由于创纪录的太阳能和风能增长,电力部门的排放量已经下降。 China has already seen power sector emissions decline since 2024 due to record solar and wind additions. 印度正在按计划提前实现500个GW非矿物燃料能力目标,其中50%以上的非矿物燃料发电。 India is on track to meet its 500 GW non-fossil capacity goal ahead of schedule, with over 50% non-fossil electricity generated. 印度尼西亚的目标是100千兆瓦太阳能发电,尽管新的煤炭和天然气项目仍然在短期计划中。 Indonesia aims for 100 GW of solar power, though new coal and gas projects remain in short-term plans. 虽然清洁能源增长正在加速,但报告警告说,如果没有明确的峰值后逐步减少战略,排放可能会稳定下来,从而有可能错过气候目标。 While clean energy growth is accelerating, the report warns that without clear post-peak phase-down strategies, emissions could plateau, risking missed climate goals. 成功取决于电网升级、储存和持续的政策支持。 Success depends on grid upgrades, storage, and sustained policy support.