美国的贸易威胁危及加拿大的经济,在CUSMA的不确定性日益增大的情况下,有可能出现衰退。
U.S. trade threats endanger Canada’s economy, risking recession amid growing uncertainty over CUSMA.
由于美国贸易紧张局势升级,加拿大面临不断上升的衰退风险,经济学家警告说,《加拿大-美国-墨西哥协定》(CUSMA)的不确定性已经在损害商业投资和制造业。
Canada faces rising recession risks due to escalating U.S. trade tensions, with economists warning that uncertainty over the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) is already hurting business investment and manufacturing.
尽管没有正式崩溃,但取消交易的威胁和潜在的25%的关税破坏了规划,特别是在钢和铝等出口重部门。
Despite no formal breakdown, threats to scrap the deal and potential 25% tariffs have disrupted planning, particularly in export-heavy sectors like steel and aluminum.
由于美国占加拿大出口的76%,经济的脆弱程度很高,甚至部分贸易中断也会将GDP减少4%。
With the U.S. accounting for 76% of Canadian exports, the economy’s vulnerability is high, and even partial trade disruptions could reduce GDP by 4%.
虽然全面崩溃可能会引发衰退,但专家们说,目前的不稳定已经造成了重大损失,尽管复苏仍然是可能的。
While a full collapse would likely trigger a recession, experts say the current instability is already taking a significant toll, though recovery remains possible.