由于贸易紧张、美国关税和中国的减速,尽管印度表现强劲,亚洲的增长在2025年放缓到4.5%。 Asia’s growth slows to 4.5% in 2025 due to trade tensions, U.S. tariffs, and China’s slowdown, despite India’s strong performance.

由于贸易紧张加剧、美国关税、全球需求疲软、中国经济放缓,世界银行和国际货币基金组织警告投资减少、出口挑战以及政策不确定性加剧,预计亚洲的经济增长在2025年将放缓至4.5%,2026年将放缓至4.1%。 Asia’s economic growth is projected to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026 due to rising trade tensions, U.S. tariffs, weakening global demand, and China’s economic slowdown, with the World Bank and IMF warning of reduced investment, export challenges, and heightened policy uncertainty. 虽然预计印度在2025-26年将增长6.6%,但受改革和强劲出口的驱动,中国的增长预计为4.8%,低于先前的预测。 While India is expected to grow at 6.6% in 2025-26, driven by reforms and strong exports, China’s growth is forecast at 4.8%, down from earlier projections. IMF敦促深化区域贸易一体化、减少非关税壁垒和结构改革,以提高复原力、生产力和国内需求,同时强调青年失业、人口老龄化和AI驱动的劳动力市场变化的风险。 The IMF urges deeper regional trade integration, reduced non-tariff barriers, and structural reforms to boost resilience, productivity, and domestic demand, while highlighting risks from youth unemployment, aging populations, and AI-driven labor market shifts.