预计日本央行将在2025年末将利率提高到0.75%, Japan's central bank is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% by late 2025 despite government spending pushes.

路透社对经济学家的调查显示,日本中央银行将在2025年第四季度将其关键利率提高到0.75%,预计10月或12月将上升60%,这一共识是强烈的。 A Reuters survey of economists shows a strong consensus that Japan's central bank will raise its key interest rate to 0.75% in the fourth quarter of 2025, with 60% predicting a hike in October or December. 尽管总理萨奈·塔卡伊奇 (Sanae Takaichi) 要求政府增加开支, 但几乎所有分析师都预计到2026年3月至少会增加25个基点. Nearly all analysts expect at least a 25-basis-point increase by March 2026, despite Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s push for greater government spending. 多数人相信她的领导层不会因持续通货膨胀和日元贬值而推迟紧缩货币政策。 Most believe her leadership won’t delay tighter monetary policy, driven by persistent inflation and yen depreciation. 目前市场预期显示,到年终,市场将上涨11个基点,预计到2026年3月将全面上升25个基点。 Market expectations currently reflect about 11 basis points of hikes by year-end, with a full 25-point rise anticipated by March 2026.