墨西哥经济在2025年上半年增长了1.8 % , 避免了经济衰退,但面临增长放缓和美国的关税风险。 Mexico’s economy grew 1.8% in 2025’s first half, avoiding recession, but faces slowing growth and U.S. tariff risks.

墨西哥经济在2025年上半年增长了1.8 % , 避免了由强劲的出口和具有弹性的服务部门驱动的衰退,但预计全年增长将放缓至仅仅0.7%。 Mexico’s economy grew 1.8% in the first half of 2025, avoiding a recession, driven by strong exports and a resilient services sector, but growth is expected to slow to just 0.7% for the full year. 由于美国商品管制署的美国关税威胁,前景仍然不明朗,不遵守规定的出口品要达到30%的关税,除非在11月前达成交易。 The outlook remains uncertain due to U.S. tariff threats under USMCA, with non-compliant exports facing up to 30% tariffs unless a deal is reached by November. 高利率、国内需求疲软、汇款减少以及投资停滞阻碍了扩张。 High interest rates, weak domestic demand, falling remittances, and stagnant investment hinder expansion. 墨西哥正在推动其半导体工业,以吸引外国投资和加强北美供应链,尽管面临政治不确定性和石油产出下降的挑战。 Mexico is pushing to boost its semiconductor industry to attract foreign investment and strengthen North American supply chains, despite challenges from political uncertainty and declining oil output.