2025年,亚太贸易上升到56%,这得益于供应链的转变和东盟联系的加强,尽管存在贸易风险,但全球增长前景有所上升。 Asia Pacific trade rose to 56% in 2025, fueled by supply chain shifts and stronger ASEAN ties, with global growth outlooks raised despite trade risks.

2025年,在供应链转移和基础设施收益的推动下,亚太区域内贸易达到56%,因为中国通过促进东盟贸易抵消了美国的出口损失。 In 2025, Asia Pacific intra-regional trade hit 56%, driven by supply chain shifts and infrastructure gains, as China offset U.S. export losses by boosting ASEAN trade. 全球贸易距离仍然很高,PMI数据显示制造业和服务业有所扩大,经合组织将2025年的预测增长率提高到3.2%。 Global trade distances remain high, with PMI data showing expansion in manufacturing and services, and the OECD raised its 2025 growth forecast to 3.2%. 美国经济在Q2增长0.95%,得到技术投资和消费的支持,而欧元区增长疲软但稳定。 The U.S. economy grew 0.95% in Q2, supported by tech investment and consumption, while the euro area saw weak but stable growth. IMF将亚洲2025年增长预测提高到4.5%,引述出口势头和有利的金融条件,但警告贸易紧张和稀土控制的风险,敦促加强区域一体化和国内需求以维持增长。 The IMF raised Asia’s 2025 growth forecast to 4.5%, citing export momentum and favorable financial conditions, but warned of risks from trade tensions and rare earth controls, urging greater regional integration and domestic demand to sustain growth.