印度的通货膨胀率预计于2025年10月低于0.5%,达到八年最低点。
India's inflation projected below 0.5% in October 2025, hitting an eight-year low.
印度的零售通胀预计到2025年10月将下降到0.50%以下,这是由于基础效应高、季节性粮食价格上涨延缓以及最近GST改革的全面影响所致。
India's retail inflation is projected to fall below 0.50% in October 2025, driven by a high base effect, delayed seasonal food price increases, and the full impact of recent GST reforms.
预计到冬季,粮食通货膨胀率仍将为负数,消费者粮食价格指数在9月份为-2.28%,6月以来持续了五个月的通货紧缩。
Food inflation is expected to remain negative through winter, with the Consumer Food Price Index at -2.28% in September—continuing five months of deflation since June.
由于蔬菜、油、水果、谷类、豆类、蛋类和燃料价格下跌,农村和城市粮食通货膨胀率分别为-2.17%和-2.477%。
Rural and urban food inflation stood at -2.17% and -2.47%, respectively, fueled by declining prices for vegetables, oils, fruits, cereals, pulses, eggs, and fuel.
通货膨胀已经达到八年的最低点,促使第26财政年度消费物价指数预测从3.1%下调至2.6%,预计这一年的大部分时间通货膨胀将低于目标,第四季度由于基数效应而略有上升。
Inflation has reached an eight-year low, prompting a downward revision of the FY26 CPI forecast to 2.6% from 3.1%, with inflation expected to stay below target for most of the year before a modest rise in the fourth quarter due to base effects.