基金组织将2025年全球增长预测提高到3.2%,指出美国关税影响降低。 IMF boosts 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2%, citing lower U.S. tariff impacts.

IMF将2025年全球增长预测从3.0%提高到3.2%,指出美国关税造成的经济混乱比预期的要少,美国增长预测从1.9%提高到2%。 The IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2% from 3.0%, citing less economic disruption from U.S. tariffs than expected, with the U.S. growth projection upgraded to 2% from 1.9%. 2026年的前景仍然为3.1%。 The outlook for 2026 remains at 3.1%. 印度对2025-26年的增长预测由于第一季度表现强劲而提高到6.6%,但在2026-27年美国关税影响下却降至6.2%。 India’s growth forecast for 2025–26 was raised to 6.6% due to strong first-quarter performance, but lowered to 6.2% for 2026–27 amid U.S. tariff impacts. 基金组织注意到供应链调整和关税豁免带来的暂时收益、通货膨胀上升的警告以及保护主义的潜在长期风险。 The IMF noted temporary gains from supply chain adjustments and tariff exemptions, warning of rising inflation and potential long-term risks from protectionism.