S&P让新西兰的AA+信用评级保持稳定, 以强大的体制和可管理的债务为例, 但警告说如果赤字不减少, 可能会降级。 S&P keeps New Zealand’s AA+ credit rating stable, citing strong institutions and manageable debt, but warns of a possible downgrade if deficits don’t shrink.

S&P 全球评级保持了新西兰的AA+信用评级稳定的前景,以强大的体制、富裕的经济和可管理的债务为例,尽管如果预算赤字不缩小,可能会出现降级。 S&P Global Ratings has maintained New Zealand’s AA+ credit rating with a stable outlook, citing strong institutions, a wealthy economy, and manageable debt, though a downgrade could occur if budget deficits don’t narrow. 过去五个季度中的三个季度经济萎缩,由于高利率、消费支出疲软和全球贸易压力,到2025年6月,实际国内生产总值下降了1.1%。 The economy contracted in three of the past five quarters, with a 1.1% decline in real GDP over the year to June 2025, due to high interest rates, weak consumer spending, and global trade pressures. S&P预计利率下降、出口强劲和旅游业将逐步增长,美国关税可以控制。 S&P expects gradual growth from falling interest rates, robust exports, and tourism, with U.S. tariffs seen as manageable. 潜在的升级取决于能否将政府赤字降至国内生产总值的3%以下,并降低净债务和利息成本。 A potential upgrade depends on reducing the government deficit below 3% of GDP and lowering net debt and interest costs. 新西兰的评级与美国、几个欧洲和亚洲国家相当,超过英国和日本,但低于澳大利亚的AAA。 New Zealand’s rating matches the U.S., several European and Asian nations, surpassing the UK and Japan, but falls short of Australia’s AAA. 惠誉也按新西兰AA+(新西兰AA+)计算,而穆迪(Moody)则提供AAAA(新西兰AA+)。 Fitch also rates New Zealand AA+, while Moody’s gives it AAA.