俄罗斯可能立即攻击北约成员,德国情报部门警告说,杂交威胁不断上升。 Russia may attack a NATO member imminently, German intelligence warns, citing rising hybrid threats.

德国情报主管马丁·杰格(Martin Jaeger)于2025年10月13日警告说, 俄罗斯正准备对北约成员发动潜在军事攻击, German intelligence chief Martin Jaeger warned on October 13, 2025, that Russia is preparing for a potential military attack on a NATO member and could act at any moment, rejecting earlier projections that a major conflict would not occur until 2029. 他列举了混合威胁的激增,包括1月至9月德国发生的172次无人驾驶飞机入侵、网络攻击、间谍活动和侵犯领空等,作为俄罗斯旨在破坏欧洲稳定的侵略态势的证据。 He cited a surge in hybrid threats, including 172 drone incursions in Germany from January to September, cyberattacks, espionage, and airspace violations, as evidence of Russia’s aggressive posture aimed at destabilizing Europe. Jaeger强调,需要先发制人地进行防御,并警告说,俄罗斯的行动是恐吓北约和破坏西方安全的更广泛战略的一部分。 Jaeger stressed the need for proactive defense and warned that Russia’s actions are part of a broader strategy to intimidate NATO and undermine Western security. 德国总理弗里德里希·梅尔兹支持这项评估,认为最近的无人机飞越德国和丹麦领空飞往俄罗斯。 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz supported the assessment, attributing recent drone flights over German and Danish airspace to Russia.