泰国中央银行在2025年10月8日维持了1.50%的利率,尽管增长和通缩疲软,但进一步削减的余地有限。 Thailand's central bank held rates at 1.50% on Oct. 8, 2025, despite weak growth and deflation, citing limited room for further cuts.

泰国中央银行在2025年10月8日将关键利率维持在1.50%, Thailand’s central bank held its key interest rate at 1.50% on October 8, 2025, defying expectations of a cut amid weak growth, persistent deflation, and a strong baht. 5 比 2 的投票标志着今年三次降息后的暂停，官员们称政策空间有限，而且之前降息的持续影响。 The 5-2 vote marked a pause after three rate reductions this year, with officials citing limited policy space and ongoing effects of prior cuts. 预计2025年通货膨胀率接近零,2026年为0.5%,预计到2027年初将恢复到1%-3%的目标。 Inflation is forecast near zero in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, with a return to the 1%-3% target expected by early 2027. 2025年增长预测缩减至2.2%,2026年增长预测降至1.6 % , 受美国关税压力、旅游业疲软以及总理阿努金·钱维拉库尔任命后的政治转型。 Growth projections were trimmed to 2.2% for 2025 and 1.6% for 2026, pressured by U.S. tariffs, weak tourism, and political transition following Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s appointment. 尽管如此,经济学家预计到2026年底还会有两次减息。 Despite the hold, economists expect two more rate cuts by end-2026.