巴基斯坦的增长预测由于洪水、赤字上升和通货膨胀而降低到2.6%。 Pakistan's growth forecast lowered to 2.6% due to floods, rising deficits, and inflation.

世界银行将巴基斯坦2026财政年度的增长率预测从3.4%降至2.6%, The World Bank has cut Pakistan’s fiscal year 2026 growth forecast to 2.6% from 3.4%, citing severe flash floods that damaged agriculture and disrupted food supplies. 旁遮普省的作物产量至少下降了10%,影响到小麦、大米、甘蔗、棉花和玉米。 Crop output in Punjab fell at least 10%, affecting wheat, rice, sugarcane, cotton, and maize. 预计洪水恢复支出的增加将把财政赤字提高到国内生产总值的5.5%,并将通货膨胀率推高7%以上。 Increased flood recovery spending is expected to raise the fiscal deficit to 5.5% of GDP and push inflation above 7%. 尽管预计经常账户赤字为国内生产总值的0.1%,加上汇款和石油价格下跌,出口损失和粮食进口增加都构成风险。 Despite a projected current account deficit of 0.1% of GDP, supported by remittances and lower oil prices, export losses and higher food imports pose risks. 长期复苏取决于更好的税收、农业振兴和财政纪律。 Long-term recovery hinges on better revenue collection, agricultural revival, and fiscal discipline. 一个新的五年改革计划旨在促进出口和增长。 A new five-year reform plan aims to boost exports and growth. 巴基斯坦和货币基金组织正在修订预算目标,同时继续努力降低违约风险和稳定经济。 Pakistan and the IMF are revising budget targets, while efforts continue to reduce default risk and stabilize the economy.