S&P 500正在按部就班地获得14%的年收益,揭穿了10月市场崩溃的神话。 The S&P 500 is on track for a 14% annual gain, debunking the myth of an October market crash.

所谓“十月效应 ” ( “ 十月效应 ” ) , 认为市场通常在十月份崩溃, 但最近数据显示S&P 500在九月份已增长3.5%, The so-called "October effect," a belief that markets typically crash in October, is challenged by recent data showing the S&P 500 has gained 3.5% in September and is on track for a 14% annual rise, fueled by tech stocks, Fed rate cuts, and AI-driven optimism. 尽管Shiller CAPE比率超过35(表明估值高),但历史趋势显示,过去6年10月没有持续下降,这表明其影响可能更多是神话而非事实。 Despite a Shiller CAPE ratio above 35—indicating high valuations—historical trends show no consistent October decline over the past six years, suggesting the effect may be more myth than reality. 长期投资在当前经济和部门特有的尾风中仍然可取。 Long-term investing remains advisable amid ongoing economic and sector-specific tailwinds.