青年党在摩加迪沙附近挺进,夺取领土,使平民流离失所,而索马里的弱势部队则依靠外国援助抵抗。 Al-Shabaab advances near Mogadishu, seizing territory and displacing civilians, while Somalia’s weak forces depend on foreign aid to resist.

2025年,青年党夺回了索马里中部和南部的重要领土,在距摩加迪沙40公里的范围内前进,并迫使平民逃离。 In 2025, al-Shabaab has regained significant territory in central and southern Somalia, advancing within 40 kilometers of Mogadishu and forcing civilians to flee. 尽管在首都附近出现了战略僵局,但该集团仍然控制着农村地区和主要城镇,使战斗人员和物资能够自由流动。 Despite a strategic stalemate near the capital, the group maintains control over rural areas and key towns, enabling free movement of fighters and supplies. 索马里政府军士气低落,薪水低,严重依赖来自美国、土耳其、阿拉伯联合酋长国、乌干达、埃及和非洲联盟的外国支持。 Somali government forces, struggling with low morale and poor pay, rely heavily on foreign support from the U.S., Turkey, UAE, Uganda, Egypt, and the African Union. 虽然美国的空袭仍在继续,但没有重新部署特种部队。 While U.S. airstrikes continue, no special forces have been redeployed. 分析家警告说,没有持续的资金和政治团结,索马里的安全部队可能无法遏制日益严重的威胁。 Analysts warn that without sustained funding and political unity, Somalia’s security forces may fail to contain the growing threat.