预计到2026年,菲律宾的贸易差距和投资疲软导致国内生产总值经常账户赤字达3%。
Philippines' trade gap and weak investment drive projected 3% GDP current account deficit through 2026.
预计菲律宾的国际收支赤字将持续到2025年和2026年,经常账户赤字约为国内生产总值的3%,其驱动因素是贸易差距扩大,服务收入减少,以及在全球不确定性下资本流入减少。
The Philippines' Balance of Payments deficit is projected to continue through 2025 and 2026, with a current account shortfall of about 3% of GDP, driven by a widening trade gap, weaker services receipts, and declining capital inflows amid global uncertainty.
由于需求疲软和商品价格下跌,货物贸易仍然疲软,而服务出口则由于美国调转旅游业和旅游业减少而缓慢增长。
Goods trade remains sluggish due to weak demand and lower commodity prices, while services exports grow slowly due to U.S. reshoring and reduced tourism.
尽管拟议征收美国税,但预计汇款将保持强劲。
Remittances are expected to stay strong despite proposed U.S. taxes.
预计外国投资流入量将下降,但中央银行说国际储备仍然充足,并将维持宏观经济稳定。
Foreign investment inflows are forecast to fall, but the central bank says international reserves remain adequate, and it will maintain macroeconomic stability.