中国在台湾附近的军事演习使人们担心,尽管存在后勤挑战,却会以欺骗和快速打击手段发动突袭。 China’s military drills near Taiwan raise fears of a surprise attack using deception and rapid strikes, despite logistical challenges.

专家评估说,虽然由于可探测到的部队和装备调动,对台湾的大规模突袭将很难发现,但中国的军事理论强调欺骗、保密和快速的多头攻击——过去的行动,如1955年的Yijiangshan群岛被俘时所展示的战术。 Experts assess that while a large-scale surprise invasion of Taiwan would be difficult due to detectable troop and equipment movements, China’s military doctrine emphasizes deception, secrecy, and rapid, multi-beach assaults—tactics demonstrated in past operations like the 1955 Yijiangshan Islands capture. 美国和台湾官员警告说,目前人民解放军在台湾周围的活动可能是强制统一演习,很可能伪装成例行演习。 U.S. and Taiwanese officials warn that current PLA activities around Taiwan may be rehearsals for a forced unification, potentially disguised as routine exercises. 尽管全面的两栖入侵面临后勤和战略障碍,但使用突袭、导弹袭击和秘密部署可以缩短警报时间,增加突然袭击的风险。 Though full-scale amphibious invasions face logistical and strategic hurdles, the use of surprise, missile strikes, and hidden deployments could reduce warning time, increasing the risk of a sudden attack.