随着《非洲增长和机会法》到期,东部非洲2025年出口激增,加上美国关税降低和商品价格上涨,面临不确定性。 Eastern Africa's export surge in 2025, fueled by lower U.S. tariffs and higher commodity prices, faces uncertainty as AGOA expires.

2025年,由于美国关税下降、商品价格上涨以及中国的贸易转移,东部非洲出口增长强劲,刚果民主共和国、埃塞俄比亚和肯尼亚的出口大幅增长。 Eastern Africa is experiencing strong export growth in 2025, driven by lower U.S. tariffs, rising commodity prices, and trade diversion from China, with the DRC, Ethiopia, and Kenya seeing significant increases. 东非共同体内部的区域内贸易在2024年达到110亿美元以上,增加了22%,而非洲内部贸易则增加了8.5%。 Intra-regional trade within the East African Community hit over $11 billion in 2024, up 22%, while intra-African trade rose 8.5%. 然而,该区域仍然严重依赖原材料矿物,占出口的53%,制造业下降到17.5%。 However, the region remains heavily reliant on raw minerals, which account for 53% of exports, and manufacturing has declined to 17.5%. 2025年9月30日到期的《非洲增长和机会法》(AGOA)的未来仍然不确定,威胁着美国的市场准入。 The future of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), set to expire September 30, 2025, remains uncertain, threatening U.S. market access. 与此同时,非洲大陆自由贸易区继续扩大区域一体化,非洲内部贸易在2024年达到2,203亿美元,尽管基础设施缺口和执行不力妨碍了充分的潜力。 Meanwhile, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) continues to expand regional integration, with intra-African trade reaching $220.3 billion in 2024, though infrastructure gaps and weak implementation hinder full potential.