英国改革党在民意调查中领先，有望赢得大多数席位，但不会赢得多数席位，法拉奇很可能成为首相。 Reform UK leads in poll, poised to win most seats but not a majority, with Farage likely becoming PM.

YouGov MRP的民调预测奈杰尔·法拉吉(Nigel Farage)的英国改革可以在假设的英国大选中赢得311个席位, A YouGov MRP poll projects Nigel Farage’s Reform UK could win 311 seats in a hypothetical UK general election, making it the largest party but falling short of a majority, with Farage likely becoming Prime Minister. 劳工将减少144个席位,这是1931年以来最糟糕的结果,使2024年多数席位失去,而保守党将降至45席,这是有史以来最低的席位。 Labour would slump to 144 seats—the worst result since 1931—losing most of its 2024 seats, while the Conservatives would drop to 45, their lowest ever. 自由民主党、新进步党和绿党将获得席位,英国改革党预计将获得英国历史上最大的席位。 The Liberal Democrats, SNP, and Greens would gain seats, with Reform UK projected to achieve the largest seat gain in British history. 根据13 000人的抽样结果,有误差,虽然有可能建立反对Farage联盟,但据认为不太可能。 The results, based on a 13,000-person sample, carry a margin of error, and while a coalition against Farage is possible, it is considered unlikely.