2026年,由于旅游业下降、失业率上升和联邦资金削减,夏威夷经济面临温和衰退。 Hawaii’s economy faces a mild recession through 2026 due to falling tourism, rising unemployment, and federal funding cuts.

由美国经济疲软、旅游业下滑及联邦政策改变所驱动, 夏威夷2026年面临温和的衰退。 Hawaii faces a mild recession through 2026, driven by a weakening U.S. economy, declining tourism, and federal policy changes. 4月至7月,游客抵达人数下降了8%,国际游客下降了9%,预计实际支出将下降6亿多美元。 Visitor arrivals dropped 8% from April to July, with international travelers down 9%, and real spending is projected to fall by over $600 million. 国内旅游业仍然至关重要,但受到就业增长停滞、通货膨胀上升和联邦裁员的威胁。 Domestic tourism remains key but is threatened by stagnant job growth, rising inflation, and federal layoffs. 预计失业率将从2025年的3%上升至2026年的3.6%。 Unemployment is expected to rise from 3% in 2025 to 3.6% in 2026. 由于联邦项目,建筑工程是一个亮点,但物价和关税上涨可能阻碍进展。 Construction is a bright spot due to federal projects, but rising material costs and tariffs may hinder progress. 即将到来的保健危机迫在眉睫,因为联邦资金削减可能使41 000名居民得不到保障。 A looming healthcare crisis looms as federal funding cuts could leave 41,000 residents without coverage. 在高抵押利率和监管不确定性的情况下,Condo市场,尤其是毛伊市场正在削弱。 Condo markets, especially on Maui, are weakening amid high mortgage rates and regulatory uncertainty.