2025年初,英国经济强劲增长,但随着投资疲软和劳动力市场放缓,税收上扬和减速即将到来。 UK economy grows strongly in early 2025, but tax hikes and rate cuts loom amid weak investment and slowing labor market.

联合王国经济始于2025年,增长高于预期,但今后面临不确定性,KPMG预测2025年国内生产总值增长1.2%,2026年增长1.1%。 The UK economy began 2025 with stronger-than-expected growth, but faces uncertainty ahead, with KPMG forecasting 1.2% GDP growth in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026. 由于贸易政策的不确定性、高税收和不断上升的公共开支压力,尤其是卫生和国防方面的压力,使商业投资疲软,抵消了具有弹性的消费者支出。 Resilient consumer spending is offset by weak business investment due to trade policy uncertainty, high taxes, and rising public spending pressures, particularly in health and defense. Rachel Reeves总理预计将在即将到来的秋季预算中提高税收,而不是削减服务,今后十年可能会逐步增加税收。 Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to raise taxes in the upcoming autumn Budget rather than cut services, with gradual tax increases likely over the next decade. 由于增长放缓和劳动力市场疲软,英格兰银行可能在年终前降低利率,预计2026年将再次削减利率,到12月将利率降至3.25%。 The Bank of England may cut interest rates before year-end due to slowing growth and a weakening labor market, with another cut expected in 2026, bringing the rate down to 3.25% by December.