根据美国历史收入比率,如果目前的公牛市场持续下去,杰弗利预测黄金每盎司可能达到6 600美元。
Jefferies forecasts gold could hit $6,600 an ounce if the current bull market continues, based on historical U.S. income ratios.
Jefferies预测,如果目前的公牛市场继续下去,根据与美国可支配人均收入的历史比较,黄金可能达到创纪录的每盎司6 600美元。
Jefferies predicts gold could reach a record $6,600 per ounce if the current bull market continues, based on historical comparisons to U.S. disposable income per capita.
目前黄金平均收入为66 100美元,占3 670美元,占平均收入的5.6%。 该公司计算出,与1980年1月的9.9%比率相当,需要大约6 571美元的价格。
With gold currently at $3,670—5.6% of the $66,100 average income—the firm calculates that matching the 9.9% ratio seen in January 1980 would require a price of about $6,571.
6 600美元的目标反映了当前世俗公牛市场的合理高峰,尽管分析侧重于美国数据,可能不考虑全球需求或现代金融工具。
The $6,600 target reflects a reasonable peak for the ongoing secular bull market, though the analysis focuses on U.S. data and may not account for global demand or modern financial instruments.