加拿大国防开支的上涨预计会略微增加国内生产总值,但由于贸易的不确定性,衰退即将到来。
Canada's defense spending boost expected to slightly increase GDP, but recession looms due to trade uncertainties.
牛津经济学公司的一份新报告指出,加拿大国防开支的增加今年和明年只能略微将其实际国内生产总值提高0.1个百分点,到2025年将达到年增长率0.9%,2026年将达到0.4%。
A new report by Oxford Economics indicates that Canada's increased defence spending will only marginally boost its real GDP by 0.1 percentage points this year and next, reaching 0.9% growth annually in 2025 and 0.4% in 2026.
尽管有这些计划,但报告指出,加拿大仍然在走向衰退,美国持续的贸易政策不确定因素和新的关税导致企业推迟投资,导致就业削减和失业增加。
Despite these plans, the report suggests that Canada is still headed for a recession, with ongoing U.S. trade policy uncertainties and new tariffs causing firms to delay investments, leading to job cuts and increased unemployment.
加拿大银行预计将维持2.75%的政策利率,但预计到2026年年中通货膨胀将上升到3%,限制了货币刺激方案。
The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain a policy rate of 2.75%, but inflation is predicted to rise to 3% by mid-2026, limiting monetary stimulus options.