UHERO预测夏威夷将从2025年底开始温和衰退, UHERO predicts a mild recession in Hawaii starting late 2025, citing federal policies and lower tourism.

夏威夷大学经济研究组织(UHERO)预测,由于联邦政策、关税和旅游减少,夏威夷从2025年底开始出现轻微衰退。 The University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization (UHERO) forecasts a mild recession in Hawaii starting late 2025, due to federal policies, tariffs, and reduced tourism. 预计游客人数将下降4%,到2026年支出将下降16亿美元。 Visitor numbers are projected to drop by 4%, with spending down by $1.6 billion by 2026. 失业率将增加,特别是在公共和旅游业部门。 Unemployment is set to increase, especially in the public and tourism sectors. 建筑和个人收入也将受到负面影响,预计2026年以后恢复缓慢。 Construction and personal income will also be negatively impacted, with a slow recovery expected after 2026.