菲律宾银行预测,由于地缘政治和贸易政策因素,2024-2025年的赤字较大。 Philippine bank forecasts larger deficit in 2024-2025 due to geopolitical and trade policy factors.

菲律宾中央银行预测,由于地缘政治冲击和美国贸易政策的潜在变化,2024年经常账户赤字将扩大104亿美元(占国内生产总值的2.2%),而此前的预测为68亿美元。 The Philippine central bank forecasts a widened current account deficit of $10.4 billion (2.2% of GDP) for 2024, up from a previous $6.8 billion projection, due to geopolitical shocks and potential shifts in US trade policies. 2025年,赤字预计将进一步增长到121亿美元(占国内生产总值的2.4%)。 For 2025, the deficit is projected to grow further to $12.1 billion (2.4% of GDP). 尽管出现这些增长,但国际收支预计将保持盈余,并受到强劲的金融流入的支撑。 Despite these increases, the balance of payments (BOP) is expected to remain in surplus, bolstered by strong financial inflows.