2024 大西洋飓风季节的风暴少于预测,原因是撒哈拉降雨量、马登-朱利安涛动和上层大气变暖。 2024 Atlantic hurricane season sees fewer storms than predicted due to Saharan rainfall, Madden-Julian Oscillation, and warmer upper atmospheric conditions.
2024年,尽管预测有15至25次大西洋飓风,但到9月中旬,只发生了7次风暴。 In 2024, despite predictions of 15 to 25 Atlantic hurricanes, only seven storms had formed by mid-September. 造成这种差异的因素包括撒哈拉降雨量大,造成热带大西洋上空的干燥空气,扰乱风暴发展。 Factors for this discrepancy include heavy rainfall in the Sahara, which created dry air over the tropical Atlantic and disrupted storm development. 此外,Madden-Julian的振荡和温度较高的高层大气条件阻碍了气旋的形成。 Additionally, the Madden-Julian Oscillation and warmer upper atmospheric conditions hindered cyclone formation. 专家指出,随着季节的发展,飓风活动增加的可能性为50%。 Experts suggest a 50% chance of increased hurricane activity as the season progresses.